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A 4 and a half minute read, right? And you underlined chess pieces I forgot were in play. Can a continent spanning U.S. A. limit the behavior of another petrostate? Seems clear it can, pipelines and concentrated capital in the wonk neighborhoods in Moscow, those are not informational but hard targets for drones on loan. Own best interests? That is the idea of homo economicus that libs can show is an absent integer, so why do my liberated journos keep that balloon in play? Another idea not worth talking about is the Russian bear. Say Kronstadt three times. Now the Russian bear is really an intangible. The Russians' willingness to undergo hard conditions for a few months underline_In the company_of their equals. And then return to the sub-adequate status quo...two things: no 30 year old grown man wants his life to hinge on the political passions of a 20 year old recruit fresh from urkadom. That is professional thuggery. And secondly, the danger of Russia keeping all of the eastern territories is compelling. You govern a territory you necessarily direct hearts and minds, I mean never mind about the abuses of those words by our state department, if you govern you bring the sun up in the morning. The U.S. has done unusual tactical things in the past. We planted nuclear land mines in mountain passes in i donot-know where, on a Nato border with the soviet block. They were dismantled, but anything we do here seems less to be brinksmanship where we can reasonably believe that simply half and more of Russians donot believe the Ukrainians are by nature cannibal Nazis.

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A lot of this hinges on understanding what contemporary Russia really is and what Putin really wants. I still don't really have a great sense of it tbh. But, yes, hold on to the territory that he has in eastern Ukraine and Putin may well feel that he's gotten what he came for in the war.

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